Lazy log Tumblr.

確率と報酬の分布を非線形にする事でゲームを実際以上に気前良く見せる事ができる。あるスロットの倍率と当たり確率が2008年にwizardofodds.comで 公開されていた。

1/8の確率で1倍
1/600の確率で2倍
1/33の確率で5倍
1/2320の確率で20倍
1/219

の確率で80倍
1/6241の確率で150倍

80倍の当たりはプレイヤーに良い目を掴んでやろうと思わせる程度には出易く、カジ ノの収益を脅かさない程度に出難い。さらに言えば、人間は極端な確率を正しく判断できない。1%の確率は度々発生する物と期待され、99%の確率は 100%と同程度に安全であると誤解される。

— ランダム性 - Sorenのゲームデザイン論　Strategy Station研究室 (via k32ru) (via nozma) (via konishiroku) (via gkojax) (via yaruo) (via otsune)

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